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ICES Methods Working Group

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# ICES Methods Working Group

## Travel information for 2023 meeting

A hearty thanks to Jim Bence for providing [this](2023-michigan/ICES_MGWG_2023_travel_info.pdf) travel information for the 2023 meeting.

## Letter of invitation, Michigan State University 13-17 November 2023

(to MGWG members, sent 17 May 2023)

The ICES Methods Working Group will be meeting 13-17 November 2023 at Michigan State University in East Lansing, Michigan, USA and you are invited to attend!

As the Chairs of the WG, our goal is to bring together the best stock assessment modelers from all continents, to share experiences, and have fun together. In consultation with ICES HQ, the Terms of Reference have been modified from the previous cycle to be more focused on the application of stock assessment models to address specific questions. The full Terms of Reference are [here](2023-michigan/MGWG_ToRs_2022-2024.pdf), but briefly are:

*	Share new techniques for use in stock assessment
*	Evaluate details of stock assessment models
*	Validate new methods
*	Identify need for ICES training courses
*	Prioritize and address modeling questions supplied by ICES EGs
*	Describe model diagnostics that should be used in stock assessments

We will also have an opportunity to discuss the projects begun during the last cycle of the ICES MGWG. These projects can be found on the GitHub site of the ICES Methods Working Group (https://github.com/ices-eg/MGWG).

To register, please complete the following short survey
https://icessurveys.typeform.com/to/yEs26Wzv
to let us know you are attending the 2023 meeting. We will be following up with an email about logistics in East Lansing. The plan is for an in person meeting. We may be able to make part of the meeting virtual, but probably cannot make the entire meeting virtual unless the in person meeting is not possible.

Feel free to forward the invitation to those you think might be interested.

All the best,
Chris and Anders

## New ToR for 2023-2024

A new Term of Reference on fishery stock assessment model diagnostics has been added. See [here](2023-michigan/MGWG_ToRs_2022-2024.pdf) for the full list of ToRs.

## Hold the date

The 2023 MGWG meeting is tentatively scheduled for 13-17 November at Michigan State University, USA with Jim Bence as the local host. Check back here for more details as they become finalized.

## Report from 2022 meeting

Thanks to all who were able to participate in the 2022 MGWG meeting. The report from the meeting is available [here](2022-lowestoft/2022_HAPISG_MGWG_interim.pdf).

## CEFAS logistics information

Now available in 2022-lowestoft folder. If there are any queries, the Lab’s reception number is: +441502562244.

Regarding accommodation, the Hotel Victoria & the Best Western Hatfield are what most visitors prefer & the Hotel Victoria may still offer a preferential rate to Cefas visitors (just ask them). But otherwise some of the other little hotels/guest houses seem to be fine, it just depends on attendee preferences.

## Letter of invitation, Lowestoft 14-18 November 2022

(to MGWG members, sent 23 March 2022)
Dear stock assessment experts,

The ICES Methods Working Group will be meeting 14-18 November 2022 in Lowestoft, England, at the historic CEFAS laboratory and you are invited to attend!

As the Chairs of the WG, our goal is to bring together the best stock assessment modellers from all continents, to share experiences, and have fun together. In consultation with ICES HQ, the Terms of Reference have been modified from the previous cycle to be more focused on the application of stock assessment models to address specific questions. The full Terms of Reference are [here](2022-lowestoft/MGWG_ToRs.pdf), but briefly are:

To register, please complete the following doodle poll
https://doodle.com/meeting/participate/id/xe7GJnye
to let us know you are attending the 2022 meeting. We will be following up with an email about logistics in Lowestoft. The plan is for an in person meeting. We may be able to make part of the meeting virtual, but probably cannot make the entire meeting virtual unless the in person meeting is not possible.

Feel free to forward the invitation to those you think might be interested.

All the best,  
Chris and Anders

***

## Save the dates
The 2020 meeting of the ICES Methods Working Group is planned for 21-25 September in Reykjavik, Iceland. More details to follow. The pandemic forced cancelation of both the 2020 and 2021 meetings.

## Meeting agenda, Seattle 23-27 September 2019

### Basic information
School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences (SAFS), University of Washington. [Directions, parking, other visitor info](https://fish.uw.edu/about/visitor-info/). There are three SAFS buildings, this meeting will be in the _Fishery Sciences building_ (FSH, [google maps link](https://goo.gl/maps/CswN5tkrcqMUv1io9)).

### Schedule
**_Note the different room for Monday vs. the rest of the week_**

**Mon, 9am-5pm, Room FSH 203**
* Welcome
* Review of ongoing projects:
  [state-space](state-space),
  [stock-recruitment](stock-recruitment),
  [model-complexity](model-complexity),
  [selectivity](selectivity)
* Status update
* Describe main challenges/obstacles in each project
* Consider whether to add/remove projects

**Tue, 9am-5pm, Rooms FSH 314 & 329**
* Work on projects
* Introduce new members to tasks and workflow

**Wed, 9am-5pm, Rooms FSH 314 & 329**
* Work on projects
* Status update
* Afternoon walk

**Thu, 9am-5pm, Rooms FSH 314 & 329**
* Work on projects
* Social evening

**Fri, 9am-4pm, Rooms FSH 314 & 329**
* Work on projects
* Plan next months
* SAFS seminar (1:30-2:30pm; FSH 203)
* Wrap up

## Letter of invitation, Seattle 23-27 September 2019

(to MGWG members, sent 8 Aug 2019)

Dear MGWG members,

I am very much looking forward to our meeting next month in Seattle, 23-27
September. We will be meeting in the Fishery Sciences Building
(http://uw.edu/maps/?fsh) from 9:00-17:00 Monday-Thursday, and 9:00-16:00
Friday. For the MGWG meeting, our main contacts in Seattle are Cole Monnahan,
Trevor Branch, and Kelli Johnson.

The draft agenda for Monday is: welcome and status update of ongoing MGWG
projects, discussion with Seattle scientists (UW, NOAA, IPHC) about ongoing MGWG
projects, an invitation to join the MGWG, and a group evaluation and decision
whether to launch a new MGWG project during the meeting. Tuesday to Friday: work
on projects.

To interact with the local scientists, we may organize lunchtime seminars and
guided walks through the local parks and pubs. Potential lunchtime seminar
topics include the (1) MGWG state-space project, (2) MGWG selectivity project,
and (3) ICES Transparent Assessment Framework. The state-space project is
submitting an abstract for the CAPAM workshop in New Zealand in November and the
selectivity project has an accepted abstract for the ICES conference in Sweden
in September.

Please use the Doodle poll

https://doodle.com/poll/umxz6dk83ee3vuna

to indicate whether you will be attending the meeting. As before, we will be
posting practical information about the meeting and venue on the GitHub MGWG
front page, https://github.com/ices-eg/MGWG.

All the best,
Arni and Chris, MGWG Chairs

---

(to local quantitive folks in Seattle, sent 22 Aug 2019)

Dear stock assessment experts,

The ICES Methods Working Group will have its annual meeting in Seattle next
month, 23-27 September. The meeting will be held at SAFS from 9:00-17:00
Monday-Thursday, and 9:00-16:00 Friday. The homepage is
https://www.ices.dk/community/groups/Pages/MGWG.aspx and the projects and
manuscripts are organized on https://github.com/ices-eg/MGWG.

The Working Group Chairs, Arni Magnusson and Chris Legault, would like to extend
an invitation to local quantitative folks to attend the meeting and to join the
Methods WG as coauthors of upcoming research projects.

The draft agenda for Monday is: welcome and status update of ongoing MGWG
projects, discussion with Seattle scientists (UW, NOAA, IPHC, etc.) about
ongoing MGWG projects, an invitation to join the MGWG, and a group evaluation
and decision whether to launch a new MGWG project during the meeting. Tuesday to
Friday: work on projects. There will also be a lunchtime seminar (or two)
scheduled in that week presenting the results of MGWG research projects.

Please use the Doodle poll

https://doodle.com/poll/umxz6dk83ee3vuna

to indicate whether you will be attending the meeting, or at least the Monday
morning session.

***

## Annual Science Conference 2019

Let's present our projects at ICES ASC 2019 in Sweden! The deadline for
submitting abstracts is 11 March 2019.

https://www.ices.dk/news-and-events/asc/asc2019/Pages/Call-for-abstracts.aspx

As a quick overview, here is a list of themes with abbreviated titles:

- (A) **Habitat** models to inform ecosystem-based management
- (B) Marine **aquaculture**
- (C) **Machine** learning
- (D) **Ecosystem** vulnerability
- (E) Assessment models with stock **components** and/or migration
- (F) **Management** objectives, trade-offs, MSE
- (G) **Ecosystem** structure and life history
- (H) Non-quota and **data-poor** stocks
- (I) Humans within ecosystems, **socio-economic** aspects
- (J) **Algal** blooms and jellyfish
- (K) Energy transfer through the **food webs**
- (L) Biological **adaptation** to climate change and fisheries
- (M) Quantifying **seabed** impact
- (N) **Data-limited** stock assessment methods
- (O) Vulnerable marine ecosystems in the **deep sea**
- (P) **Mixed** fishery management, discards and choke effects
- (Q) Small-scale and **recreational** fisheries

Mapping our projects to these theme sessions could look something like this:

1. state-space:
   [N](https://www.ices.dk/news-and-events/asc/asc2019/Pages/Theme-sessions.aspx)
2. stock-recruitment:
   [N](https://www.ices.dk/news-and-events/asc/asc2019/Pages/Theme-sessions.aspx)
3. model-complexity:
   [N](https://www.ices.dk/news-and-events/asc/asc2019/Pages/Theme-sessions.aspx)
4. selectivity:
   [P](https://www.ices.dk/news-and-events/asc/asc2019/Pages/Theme-sessions.aspx)

A presentation at a conference can be a great stepping stone, to transition from
the initial analysis and results stage towards writing up a cohesive story in a
manuscript.

Although the 11 March deadline for abstracts is close, keep in mind that the
abstract can be short and somewhat vague, and we have until 9 September to
prepare the slides. Later that month, we have our MGWG meeting in 23-27
September, so our project presentations/slides are due in September anyway :)

Even if only one person from a project subgroup can make it to the ASC, that
person could present the research findings and celebrate that milestone in
Sweden, Abba style!

***

## New co-chair

MGWG proposes *Chris Legault* as a new co-chair from 2019 onwards, as
recommended by all participants at the 2018 meeting in Ispra. Congratulations to
Chris and all of us!

***

## Vacancy for a co-chair

We are seeking applications for the role of co-chair of the ICES Methods WG.

The responsibilities of the co-chair will be to coordinate, guide, and support
the working group to reach its objectives. See
http://www.ices.dk/community/groups/Pages/MGWG.aspx.

You will join a dynamic and collaborative international team of scientists, who
are committed to providing a welcoming, efficient and rewarding working
environment, and advancing the development of stock assessment methods.

**Main responsibilities**

The co-chair will initiate and maintain communication between WG members,
prepare and steer annual meetings, mentor new participants, compile and edit the
WG report, and assist with project management. In short, support WG members in
every way possible in their endeavor to co-author and publish valuable
contributions in the field of stock assessment methods.

**Qualifications and experience**

We seek a co-chair who is motivated, organised, collaborative and flexible.
Applicants are expected to have:

- A strong background in stock assessment methods.

- The ability to inspire, delegate tasks, and instill a positive teamwork
  spirit.

- Exceptional writing and presentation skills, computer literacy and attention
  to detail.

- Experience participating in international working groups that have
  successfully published group-authored papers in scientific journals.

- The ability to travel internationally 1-2 times per year, to attend the ICES
  Methods WG meeting and the ICES WGCHAIRS meeting.

**Terms of appointment**

The co-chair will be appointed following an election by the working group
members. It is a 3-year term, which can be followed by one other 3-year term.

Experience as a chair of an international working group of scientists is
considered a part of the professional portfolio as a senior scientist and in
academia. It is an opportunity to network with scientists worldwide and will
increase your visibility among peers. Also, for the right person, the
co-chairing task is enjoyable in itself.

The Methods WG will discuss the selection of a co-chair on Friday 14 September
2019, and a decision will be made soon afterwards.

***

## Next meeting

Tentative date for the next ICES Methods WG meeting:

**23-27 September 2019**

This timing gets us safely past family vacation time, makes it easier for NOAA
staff to get their travel funded, and enables people to attend related events
such as the JRC Ensemble Modelling group (26-30 Aug), ICES Annual Science
Conference (9-12 Sep), AFS Annual Meeting (29 Sep-3 Oct), etc.

Venue TBD.

***

## Dining in Ispra

- [La Baita](https://www.google.com/maps/place/La+Baita/@45.8123151,8.6115044,16z/data=!4m8!1m2!2m1!1sristorante!3m4!1s0x0:0xc3ccb16370a6a47c!8m2!3d45.8163533!4d8.6118543)
- [Ristorante San Gottardo](https://www.google.com/maps/place/Ristorante+San+Gottardo/@45.8123151,8.6115044,16z/data=!4m8!1m2!2m1!1sristorante!3m4!1s0x0:0xdc7ea21c7ddc9e43!8m2!3d45.8144792!4d8.6100988)
- [Caffe Vespucci](https://www.google.com/maps/place/Caff%C3%A8+Vespucci/@45.8120721,8.6096698,17z/data=!4m8!1m2!2m1!1sristorante!3m4!1s0x0:0xdced185cf1319f82!8m2!3d45.8139632!4d8.6074602)
- [Setteduequattro](https://www.google.com/maps/place/SETTEDUEQUATTRO+%7C+Pizza%26Cucina/@45.8123637,8.6145621,17z/data=!4m8!1m2!2m1!1sristorante!3m4!1s0x0:0x786095823c6376b7!8m2!3d45.8116768!4d8.6207237)
- [Pizzeria Il Capriccio](https://www.google.com/maps/place/Pizzeria+Il+Capriccio/@45.8145797,8.6209942,19z/data=!4m8!1m2!2m1!1sristorante!3m4!1s0x0:0x3aa3182130f04533!8m2!3d45.815165!4d8.6224021)
- [Roby's bistrot](https://www.google.com/maps/place/Roby%C2%B4s+bistrot/@45.8141217,8.6118747,18z/data=!4m8!1m2!2m1!1sristorante!3m4!1s0x478677314f9c06db:0x22a6738bd1f63aca!8m2!3d45.8135622!4d8.6116277)

### Gelateria

- [Il Capriccio](https://www.google.com/maps/place/Il+Capriccio/@45.8156063,8.6099541,19z/data=!4m8!1m2!2m1!1sristorante!3m4!1s0x4786773055897ebf:0xf6a74d89e78badc0!8m2!3d45.8156238!4d8.6100592)

***

## Meeting agenda (10-14 Sep 2018, Ispra)

**Mon, 9am-5pm**
* Welcome
* Review of ongoing projects:
  [state-space](state-space),
  [stock-recruitment](stock-recruitment),
  [model-complexity](model-complexity),
  [selectivity](selectivity)
* Status update
* Describe main challenges/obstacles in each project
* Consider whether to add/remove projects

**Tue, 9am-5pm**
* Work on projects
* Introduce new members to tasks and workflow
* Discussion about project management

**Wed, 9am-5pm**
* Work on projects
* Status update
* Afternoon walk

**Thu, 9am-5pm**
* Work on projects
* Social evening

**Fri, 9am-4pm**
* Work on projects
* Plan next months
* Wrap up

***

## Letter of invitation, Ispra 10-14 Sep 2018

(sent 30 Apr 2018)

Dear stock assessment experts,

The ICES Methods Working Group will be meeting 10-14 September 2018 in Ispra,
Italy, and you are invited to attend!

As the Chair of the WG, my goal is to bring together the best stock assessment
modellers from all continents, to do good science and have fun together. The
overall objectives of the working group are:

* Develop and improve stock assessment models and techniques
* Leverage the international scope of the WG to analyze many models and datasets
* Publish multi-author papers related to stock assessment

Specific projects launched during the 2017 meeting in Woods Hole are:

1. State-space vs. traditional models
2. Internal vs. external stock recruitment
3. Appropriate level of model complexity
4. Selectivity as part of management advice

The ongoing research is organized on the GitHub site of the ICES Methods Working
Group (https://github.com/ices-eg/MGWG). If we get many participants this year,
we could perhaps add one more project during the meeting in Ispra, depending on
the background and interests of new participants. We are especially interested
in topics that bring together and compare a wide range of approaches, methods,
and datasets.

To register, please email Maria Lifentseva (maria.lifentseva@ices.dk) and me to
let us know you are attending the 2018 meeting. I will be following up with an
email about logistics in Ispra.

Feel free to forward the invitation to those you think might be interested.

All the best,<br>
Arni

***

## Planning the 2018 Meeting

**[Doodle poll](https://doodle.com/poll/q9xk8z9yn4pbmpgn)**

Having met in Woods Hole (USA) in 2017, we may have the 2018 meeting in Southern
Europe, to keep a balance between east and west, north and south :)

If we aim for the autumn, the NOAA fiscal year means September is good, and the
ICES ASC (24-27 Sep) means late September may not be a good time for the Methods
WG meeting.

Can we meet in the first or second week of September, 3-7 Sep or 10-14 Sep?
Please indicate and comment in the Doodle poll above.

***

## Remote Access

(13 Nov 2017)

Please join me in an Adobe Connect Meeting.

Meeting Name: ICES Methods Group
Summary: ICES Methods Group meeting Monday - Friday
Invited By: NEC.B Connect (nec.b.connect@noaa.gov)
When: 11/13/2017 9:00 AM - 6:30 PM
Time Zone: (GMT-05:00) Eastern Time (US and Canada)

Conference Number(s): (877) 653-6612 (toll free)
+1 517 600 4840 (toll; for international callers)
Participant Code: 8116908

To join the meeting:
https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/icesmethods/

***

## Arrival Information

(9 Nov 2017, updated 11 Nov)

Welcome to Woods Hole! The meeting will be held in the Stephen H. Clark
conference room located in the Aquarium building (see
https://www.nefsc.noaa.gov/nefsc/woodshole/directions.html). The meeting hours
will be 9-5 from Monday to Thursday and 9-4 on Friday.

The first day to arrive, please check in at the front desk of the Fisheries Main
Building. You will only need to check in once for the week. If you drive, you'll
be given a parking pass to put in your car. Parking is quite limited at the lab,
so please car pool if at all possible. There are bike racks in front of the
Aquarium if you decide to bike.

Door code, wireless, and lunch information will be provided at the meeting.
Conference line and webex information for remote participants will be posted
separately.

If you have any questions, please contact Chris Legault
(chris.legault@noaa.gov). Non-US citizens, please see the post regarding
required information - thank you.

***

## Required information for non-US citizens

(3 Nov 2017)

The US government has rules regarding foreign national guests participating in
workshops that NOAA hosts. Please don't shoot the messenger, but Chris Legault
will need the following information for all non-US citizens participating in the
ICES Methods WG meeting November 13-17.

Could you please send the information to Chris either via email or by fax
(508-495-2393). If you send a fax, please send an email letting him know you
sent it so he can easily confirm its receipt.

1. Name (First, Middle, Last) as written on passport

2. Your affiliation (name of your company, academic institution, government, or
   nonprofit org)

3. Gender

4. Date of birth (mo, day, year)

5. Country of birth

6. Country of citizenship

7. Country of current residence

8. Country of permanent residence (home country)

9. Dual Citizenship? (If yes, need info regarding both countries)

10. Passport number

11. Country of passport

12. Phone number

Sorry for the bureaucratic hassle. Please ask if you have any questions.

***

## Places to stay in Woods Hole

(3 Nov 2017)

A few places people usually stay are:

* [Coonamessett Inn](https://www.coonamessettinn.com)

* [Inn on the Square](http://www.innonthesquare.com)

* [Holiday Inn](https://www.ihg.com/holidayinn/hotels/us/en/falmouth/fmhma/hoteldetail)

There are also a number of Bed & Breakfasts.

***

## Bus to Woods Hole

(21 Oct 2017)

Chris Legault recommends taking the Peter Pan Bus to get from the airport
(Boston Logan) to Woods Hole. The bus departs the airport every two hours, the
last one at 19:20. The journey takes around 2.5 hours:

```
Boston  Woods
Logan   Hole
09:20   11:45
11:20   13:45
13:20   15:45
15:20   17:45
17:20   19:45
19:20   21:45
```

See page 20 in
https://peterpanbus.com/wp-content/uploads/Peter-Pan-Timetable-9-27-2017.pdf#page=20
for details.

***

## The plan

(18 Oct 2017)

Just a quick update on the upcoming ICES Methods working group, meeting in Woods
Hole 13-17 November.

At the meeting, we will identify paper-size topics that are well suited to
analyze and write as teams. When we decide during the meeting which topics will
be pursued by the Methods working group, we will consider things like:

1. Is this topic important for many stock assessment scientists?

2. Is there another working group already working on this topic?

3. How can this be structured into the format of a medium-size journal paper?

4. What kind of work is required, and how much work?

5. Do we have a suitable number of participants that would like to analyze and
   write this together?

6. Who would like to lead this group and what will the role of coauthors be?

So I'm hoping that we will discuss many potential topics during the meeting (and
a bit before and after the meeting). Once we have selected the topics, we will
move them to https://github.com/ices-eg/mgwg and follow the progress to
manuscript submission.

Since many of you cannot make it to the meeting this year, we will make an
effort to involve people in the discussion remotely. I will send another update
in the next couple of weeks when we have an online wiki, to coordinate the
discussion and decide on video conferencing times and format during the meeting.
Until then, feel free to send me ideas that I can put on the initial wiki to get
the discussion started.

Those of you who are coming to Woods Hole 13-17 November, please confirm with
Chris Legault <chris.legault@noaa.gov> and me, so we can choose a suitable
meeting room, get hotel recommendations, etc.

***

## Letter of Invitation

(19 Sep 2017)

Dear stock assessment experts,

The brand new ICES Methods Working Group will be meeting **13-17 November 2017
in Woods Hole**, and you are invited to attend!

As the Chair of the new WG, my goal is to bring together the best stock
assessment modellers from Europe, North America and elsewhere, to do good
science and have fun together. As a group, we will decide for ourselves which
research topics to pursue. The only message from the ICES leadership to the
group is: aim high and publish your findings.

The objectives of the working group are:

1. Develop and improve stock assessment models and techniques

2. Leverage the international scope of the WG to analyze many models and
   datasets

3. Publish multi-author papers related to stock assessment

The focus will mainly be on single-species models, diagnostics, forecasts,
uncertainty, statistical techniques, innovations, etc.

Specific objectives of this first meeting of the new Methods WG are:

* Identify main research topics

* Form teams

* Formulate papers to publish

We will be especially interested in topics that bring together and compare a
wide range of approaches, methods, and datasets.

---

I realize that 13-17 November is very close, and I apologize for the short
notice. If you are interested but unable to attend this first meeting, do not
despair: the Methods WG will meet annually and the 2018 meeting will be
announced with proper notice. Furthermore, feel free to participate remotely by
proposing research topics and shape the ideas that will continue to develop.

We can start some brainstorming in the weeks before the meeting, but at this
point I want to invite you to participate in the ICES Methods WG. Feel free to
forward the invitation to those you think might be interested. Registration is
simple, just send me an email!

All the best,

Arni

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